China stock market turn to “Down” already(2011.5.18)

趨勢分析：

觀察重點 :

P/c ratio up to 1.554 at the end. That’s good news. But, the bad news is Nasdaq trend will turn to “Down” 8 days later. Besides, China stock market turn to “Down” already, Hong Kong stock market will turn to “Down” 5 days later. Anyway, we prefer believe it will be Bull side because investors are not crazy now.

籌碼分析：

今日p/c ratio表態往上到1.554,指數漲81點,只是有點尷尬,跑到整數關卡,所以可能再等一天,好在空方現在也不強,另外,明天的轉折是12263,後天就回到12524,照經驗應該還是磨

波動度預測(Arbitrage)：

前日說:”Nasdaq若明天收在2745~2813之間,則有套利機會”,果然,漲了32點;不過,Dow Jones 則沒出現套利機會;壞消息是,Nasdaq 已經出現兩天forecast trend 為Down了,未來兩週沒有像樣的往上攻堅,看來又有空方機會了

 

 

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