“ Does QE2 work ?”(2011.6.8)

趨勢分析：

觀察重點 :

 It seems little chance  to evaluate Bull or Bear win before next week. But, for middle tern , Bear win is obviously. Now, we must ask the question is “ Is the economic better than 2008 ?” or “ Does QE2 work ?” . If the answer is “No”, then what should we do ?

籌碼分析：

如昨日所說:”今日p/c又出現膠著,以目前看反轉機會不大,原因其一是forecast trend 為down,原因其二是p/c型態上很不利多方”,今日p/c 又往下小小跌, 更不利了

波動度預測(Arbitrage)：

本週若收盤在11857~12356,則下週有週套利機會,目前看剩兩個交易日,繼續廝混的機率很高

 

 

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