don’t operate until one side is unbalance(2011.5.13)

趨勢分析：

觀察重點 :

P/c ratio down to 1.512 at the end. Which means, investors do not be crazy. But, on the other hand, it will not climb over sharply in the short term. In my opinion, we can keep on observing the trend and p/c, but , don’t operate until one side is unbalance, now. 

籌碼分析：

今日p/c ratio小跌到1.512,指數跌100點,現在是各說各話,多方空方都有理由,多方說p/c並未表態,不夠瘋狂沒有狂跌的理由,空方說多方高點越來越低,型態轉空,個人倒認為退出觀望,等瘋狂時再來轉空,等悲觀時再來買多

波動度預測(Arbitrage)：

盤整,沒有套利空間;若週一持續往下悲觀,也許會有套利機會

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